Vaporware Deja Vu

Back when I was selling Apple Computers with only 16 KB (yes, that’s Kilobytes!), Apple would announce new products months in advance of delivery, the fail to meet its delivery date by week’s or months.

Apple finally stopped announcing delivery dates altogether, but its representatives who visited my store to take orders for product, would give me indications by pronouncing the actual delivery date by us in the word “Soon.”

There was “soon” and “sooon” and “soooooon.”

That’s the Mueller Report. I have seen weekly reports of the release of the product as soon…but nothing ever appears. In my old Apple days we referred to that as “Vaporware.”

Mueller and his team are fully funded through September. It is widely acknowledged, except on CNN, that Mueller has nothing on the subject of Collusion, his primary objective. It can be argued that Trump surrounded himself with a bunch of shady characters and that Mueller exposed them, but other than that it is unlikely that Mueller has a Smoking Gun for impeachment.

Meanwhile, we get nothing from Mueller and I have nothing but deja vu from my old Apple days of “soooon.”

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IRS/FBI = Serious Hurt

While Hollywood has the most well known cheaters in the “Operation Varsity Blues” scandal, right now it appears that Silicon Valley and the San Francisco Bay is the center of activity. More than a dozen of the big donor cheating families come from the Bay Area.

When you are dealing with as many as 700 cheaters known so far, there are some serious shoes yet to drop and the investigation is not over.

The participants in the scheme could suffer not just embarrassment, but serious jail time because there is such public interest, and no judge is wanting to appear to give ultra rich people a soft sentence. There are Federal Mail and Wire charges here, and bribery is the least of their worries. It is even possible for some students to be charged if they knowingly participated

Certainly the families who entered into this scheme didn’t consider Federal charges of a serious nature, but when the FBI and IRS are involved, you are in for serious hurt!

Morning Musings

“When called by a Panther, don’t anther.”

Ogden Nash

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Trump’s proposed budget has some good points that are roiling Washington. He proposes a 10% cut in Education, (which should be a 100% cut) because education is, under the often ignored 10th Amendment, a state issue.

Trump proposes a 20+% cut in the EPA, again a winner. The EPA has run amok with “Enabling Regulations” exceeding the laws passed by Congress, particularly in Wetland issues, and needs to be cut back, severely.

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I can’t say I know anything about the two actresses charged today in a scheme to get their children into good colleges through bribery and cheating, but the Hollywood scandals just pile up. The place is truly a cesspit.

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While the Ethiopian Boeing jet that crashed may have done so for the anticipated automatic trim system of the Indonesian jet problem, the eyewitness on the ground all saw smoke, indicating a problem with the engines or possibly a terrorist bomb. Automatic Trim Systems could indeed cause a control problem if the plane wasn’t high enough, but the plane was trailing smoke. We will know soon enough because the problem has caused a huge, international glitch in air travel, mot to mention what it is doing to Boeing!

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The sentencing of Cardinal Pew, one of the Top Five Vatican Cardinals, on sex charges in Australia, will be televised in Australia. The televised sentencing is unique in Australia.

How “Temporary” is Temporary?

Since 1990, a Law has permitted Temporary asylum or “Temporary Protected Status” (TPS) not just to DACA residents, but Temporary relief and residence to people fleeing insurrections, earthquakes, and other disasters from 10 countries around the world. There are about 320,000 people living here under “TPS.”

Many of these “Temporary” residents have become so comfortable that long after native disasters have become history, they don’t want to return home. Some have been here so long, they hardly remember their previous home town, but the Trump administration has begun the process of revoking their “Temporary” status and the lawsuits have begun.

A good example is El Salvador’s TPS, who number 185,000. They were granted TPS in 1991 because of earthquakes that severely crushed that nation, but the nation has recovered and they are still here. In 2018 the Trump administration revoked the TPS for the El Salvadorians and begun to deport them, slowly, under an agreement with El Salvador to limit the weekly number.

Similar to the problem with the Mexican DACA children, many of the TPS people from the 10 countries covered by the 1990 law, have had children who are now American citizens and have never seen the native country that their parents are being deported to.

No One Alive Today…

So what happened in Hanoi?

First, and most important, no agreement had been worked out before the Principals arrived, because Trump relies on personal relationships instead of the usual methods of statecraft. It’s simply his style, and in this case it blew up. Trump’s most powerful negotiating tool, the US Military. Is impotent because Seoul is hostage. Sanctions are slow, although they work best against the weak, and NoKo is weak.

Next, Kim overreached, believing that Trump needed an agreement more than he actually did. In the next meeting, closer to the 2020 election, Kim might have a better argument.

Finally, The NoKo is never going to give up their Nukes…well, never is too long. After full integration of North and South economies ala East and West Germany, full amnesty for regime sins, past and present, and assurances that the Kim family can remain in power forever…perhaps then.

I believe that Kim actually wants to stop his country’s periodic national starvation years. He probably overplayed his hand, and the Bromance with Trump will play out somewhat better next time. The sanctions hurt NoKo more than some countries because being so far north, crop failures are endemic, and NoKo must trade its raw material to import food.

Neither side wanted to come away with nothing, but the status quo ante hurts NoKo worse. Neither side is going to start a war, the US is more powerful economically daily and NoKo remains a wart on the globe. NoKo is a Nuclear nation against the wishes of four American presidents, but it can’t eat its Nukes. It can extort food from the South by threatening Seoul, but it is better positioned to negotiate away an unneeded facility or two, even a few Nukes, holding more hidden away

No one alive today will see this played out.

Trump Gets Conned II

O.K. I told you so! Many times. North Korea is not going to give up theirs Nukes.

Nukes are the only thing that differentiates North Korea from Chad. If Russia is one filling station and Nukes, North Korea is an Architect’s plans for a filling station, and Nukes.

So, Trump got played. Again. To give him just a bit of credit, Trump didn’t cave, he walked without even signing a Peace Treaty for the Korean War, although that war wasn’t even American, it was a United Nations war. I remember wearing a blue helmet as a sign that we were United Nations troops.

Trump has been on a massive losing streak ever since the 44 seat House defeat, and he needed a “W” and anything less was an “L.” The first day of the House grilling of Cohen certainly didn’t hurt Trump much. Cohen didn’t deliver a Smoking Gun on the first day, and it didn’t seem like anything more than name calling.

Where is Congress on This?

Cardinal George Pell, the previously third ranking cleric in the Vatican, just spent his first night in an Australian jail. I suppose that Australia has a tiered jail system and that the Cardinal will be not too inconvenienced by being placed in a White Collar jail for his protection, in spite of being convicted of a sexual assault on two Choirboys.

The Cardinal was convicted on four counts in December, but the conviction was sealed until the Cardinal could recover from knee surgery. He will actually be sentenced March 13, and could get 40 years but that is unlikely.

The Australian Commission that studied the problem, concluded that thousands of boys were assaulted in Australia. My question is that worldwide, with tens of thousands of boys being sexually used, how is it possible that EVERYONE in the Church did not know? At least those who were not participating must have at least heard rumors about such widespread abuse.

It is that coverup that so many US District Attorneys, in effect a Criminal Conspiracy, that reaches RICO standards that is being used in US cases. While our politicians battle in Congress, a much greater threat than political abuse looms like an elephant in the room, but politicians ignore it. If ever there was a subject rife with problems already being discovered piecemeal, it is this subject that should Be publicly aired!

There has been a massive coverup of Criminal Abuse that subjected several thousand American children to sex by force, but Congress remains silent.