We Will All Be Exhausted By 2016

Gosh, is the political horse race really underway? It seems early, but…

While I am a registered Libertarian I usually vote Republican in the national election, because Libertarians have better local candidates than Libertarians do on the national scene.

My support for Republicans is not unlimited, and it is based usually overall not on the quality of the Republican, as it is a well-earned fear of a Democrat candidate.  Back when Democrats had Senators like Nunn of Georgia and “Scoop” Jackson of Washington, I was a nominal Democrat, but as they say, the Democratic Party left me.

Some of the Republican potential candidates for president scare me just a bit, but nowhere near  the threat to my Liberty that do the potential Democrat candidates.

That said, let me just list my Republican candidates and what I see as their assets and liabilities  IN MY EYES.

As they say, your results may vary!

Right now, and I mean my list is tenuous because future events may call for a reshuffling, my Top Tier are Scott Walker, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, Bobby Jindal and Rick Perry. All have has not just marginal, but HUGE success in State management. Mitt has the downside of losing twice, Jeb for being out of the spotlight for many years, and Rick Perry for being too Texan.

My second tier includes Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul and Dr. Ben Carson. I believe that all but Chris Christie only want national platforms for distributing their ideas, and Chris has little chance because his stewardship of his state of New Jersey has not been even good, much less great.

The current heart-throb on Social Media, Dr. Carson, is the Dark Horse candidate if I can use that term. No doubt he is brilliant, articulate and has a compelling story, but we have been through that once before and the results have been awful. He needs seasoning — a Governorship would help or even several terms as a Senator — but management training only comes with corporate presidency or Governorship. Carly Fiorena is another Dark Horse — she has management experience but it was not wholly successful.

Did I leave anyone out? (Probably)

It’s hard to rate the Democrats, because Hillary has filled the field, and if she actually pulls the trigger she will keep everyone out, except those who want a platform for their ideas, and can you say Elizabeth Warren. Hillary has some management experience in the State Department, but her success as a manager there would be frequently questioned. Then there is Bill. Bill is another problem. You have to say that Hillary DID keep her head down and worked hard as a Senator, but it says a lot that she now represents the Conservative Wing of the Democratic Party.

Many Republicans will fall by the wayside — who can forget Rick Perry’s debate fiasco or Jinal’s infamous Saturday reply to a presidential speech — neither of which should be disqualifying, but was because when candidates are all qualified, some means must be around to choose between equals.

 

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The Incredible Shrinking President

The Democrats have exactly the same problem that the Republicans had in the last presidential election — deciding where to draw the line, in this case on immigration, as to how many of the usual supporters will sit on their hands.

It is a political nightmare — no question. The president has been slapped down HARD by the US Supreme Court, 9-0, so he is at least alert that his Legacy as a “Constitutional Lawyer,” is seriously in jeopardy.

The Latino Caucus is DEMANDING action because they have done their job, twice! Does the president want Latinos sitting on their hands in November?

Then, there are the angry masses. No they can’t hurt Obama, he is a Lame Duck and only needs to be concerned about the Obama Library…oh, and whether the Democrats will win ANY elections for the next few cycles.

Did I mention the VA, Benghazi, the IRS, Keystone project, Fast and Furious? As much as Obama would love to mail it in while vacationing in Hawaii or playing golf, circumstances just won’t leave him alone — circumstances like Iraq, Palestinian rockets, ISIS, Afghanistan, Ukraine, the Children’s Army on our Border…

Either the problems are too large, or the president is too small. Quite possibly, all of the above.

I suspect that is why Mitt Romney is well ahead of Obama in support — because problems require management and Obama is a rock star, not a manager. Romney is a proven MANAGER!

Rumor Has It…

Reason Magazine reports that Time Magazine reports  (nothing like third hand information) that Ron Paul is making nice-nice with Mitt Romney.

That actually makes sense. Ron Paul is an economic conservative, not a social conservative, and Ron and Mitt have criticized each other in debates but without rancor.

With his stand on Iran, Paul lost momentum in a race he was having an impact upon, but his domestic policy ideas are solid, as are many of his other foreign policy ideas. We live in a time when just one slip can doom your political career. The media is right there to emphasize any perceived slip, and repeat it, repeat it (loop)…

Romney is the prohibitive favorite to win the nomination, absent a big blunder. There is no room in a Romney administration for a loose verbal canon like Ron Paul, so it is a real question what Romney could provide to earn Ron’s support.

That’s alright, because Ron Paul can’t be bought, anyway. He will support Romney on an ideological basis anyway, but he could just as well put Romney over the top early and cut the Death By a Thousand Cuts that Santorum and Gingrich are currently inflicting.